In mid- and late 1994, MathPro Inc. participated in a comprehensive multi-client study of the federal reformulated gasoline program. The study covered the economic and technical consequences of statutory and prospective gasoline reformulation programs in the U.S., for the period 1995 to 2005.

In this engagement, MathPro Inc. conducted detailed, regionally disaggregated analyses of the technical and economic consequences of the federal Phase 1 and Phase 2 RFG programs and of the California Phase 2 RFG program. For each program, MathPro Inc. developed detailed estimates of:

• Average refining cost (¢/gallon) of producing RFG, by season and by PADD (for the federal RFG programs);
• Changes in refinery operations, by objective (e.g., benzene control, oxygen content requirement) and by PADD;
• Refinery investment requirements, by objective and by PADD;
• Gasoline composition, by grade, season, and PADD;

Each of the analyses involved extensive use of ARMS, enhanced and expanded to represent new refining technologies likely to be fielded by 2000 and 2005.